FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group · Sunday, 26 April 2026
Waregem 4–0 RAAL La LouviereMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 26 April 2026
> Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Waregem at 47%, draw at 25%, RAAL La Louviere at 28%. The match ended 4-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Waregem.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Waregem win
47%
Actual ✓
Draw
25%
Louviere win
28%
> Expected vs actual goals
Model expected (xG)
1.55 – 1.15
Total 2.70
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (+1.3 vs xG)
Match overperformed xG by 1.3 goals. Above-expectation scoring — could be finishing, set-piece luck, or genuine attacking quality the model under-rated.
> Bawler's picks · how they landed
Banker
Waregem or Draw (Double Chance)
Pre-match: 72%
✓ Won
Value
BTTS Yes
Pre-match: 54%
✗ Lost
Dark Horse
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
✗ Lost