Public ledger

Bawler's public, verified prediction track record

Every prediction is logged before kickoff with a tamper-evident hash, settled automatically from live results, and stays visible forever. No deletions. No edits. Across 1168 settled predictions, the free high-confidence call has hit 74.1% (865/1168).

Coverage 2026-03-18 → 2026-08-16 · 55 competitions

High-confidence accuracy
74.1%
865/1168 settled
Medium-confidence accuracy
50.0%
528/1057 settled
Outside-shot accuracy
27.7%
266/959 settled
Total predictions settled
1168
55 competitions

How this record is kept honest

  • Predictions are locked when official lineups drop (~75 min before kickoff) and written to an append-only log with a content hash — they cannot be changed after the fact.
  • Results are settled automatically from live match data. We do not hand-grade, delete losers, or backdate winners.
  • Every settled prediction stays on the record, whether it landed or not.
  • Accuracy figures above are computed live from the 1168 settled predictions below — recompute them yourself from the same data.

We turned this ledger into a study: The 2026 Football Prediction Accuracy Report — how often predictions land at the confidence Bawler assigns them, with per-competition cuts.

The same keep-it-honest discipline runs our fantasy football projections — see the FPL predicted points backtest.

Recent settled predictions

DateMatchHigh-confidence callResult
16 Aug 26RAAL La Louvière v KAA GentOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26Watford v SouthamptonWatford or drawWON
16 Aug 26Feyenoord Rotterdam v Go Ahead EaglesFeyenoord Rotterdam to winLOST
16 Aug 26FC Twente v PEC ZwolleFC Twente to winWON
16 Aug 26Waasland-Beveren v AnderlechtWaasland-Beveren or DrawWON
16 Aug 26ADO Den Haag v FC GroningenOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26LAFC v San Diego FCLAFC or DrawLOST
16 Aug 26San Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis CITY SCOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas CityOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FCOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26Houston Dynamo FC v LA GalaxyOver 1.5 goalsLOST
16 Aug 26Nashville SC v Inter Miami CFOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26Atlanta United FC v Red Bull New YorkOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26CF Montréal v D.C. UnitedOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26Charlotte FC v Columbus CrewOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26Orlando City SC v FC CincinnatiOver 1.5 goalsWON
16 Aug 26Toronto FC v New England RevolutionOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Sevilla v Rayo VallecanoOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Rio Ave v FC PortoOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Fortuna Sittard v SC CambuurOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26OH Leuven v Club BruggeOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Racing Genk v KVC WesterloRacing Genk to winWON
15 Aug 26Gaziantep FK v AlanyasporOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Genclerbirligi v FenerbahceOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Excelsior v PSV EindhovenOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Alavés v GetafeOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Académico de Viseu v Santa ClaraAcadémico de Viseu or DrawLOST
15 Aug 26FC Utrecht v AZ AlkmaarOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Sheffield United v Birmingham CityOver 1.5 goalsLOST
15 Aug 26KV Kortrijk v AntwerpOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Kasimpasa v TrabzonsporKasimpasa or DrawWON
15 Aug 26Konyaspor v Caykur RizesporOver 1.5 goalsLOST
15 Aug 26Alverca v EstrelaOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Willem II v NEC NijmegenOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Bristol City v MillwallOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Charlton Athletic v Derby CountyCharlton Athletic or drawWON
15 Aug 26Middlesbrough v Lincoln CityOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Norwich City v West Bromwich AlbionOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Portsmouth v Queens Park RangersOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Stoke City v Swansea CityOver 1.5 goalsWON
15 Aug 26Union St.-Gilloise v Zulte-WaregemOver 1.5 goalsLOST
15 Aug 26Bolton Wanderers v Preston North EndOver 1.5 goalsWON
14 Aug 26Sporting CP v Vitória de GuimaraesOver 1.5 goalsWON
14 Aug 26Wolverhampton Wanderers v Blackburn RoversOver 1.5 goalsWON
14 Aug 26Cercle Brugge KSV v Sint-TruidenseCercle Brugge KSV or DrawWON
14 Aug 26Galatasaray v Çorum FKOver 1.5 goalsWON
14 Aug 26Telstar v Sparta RotterdamOver 1.5 goalsWON
13 Aug 26Egnatia v Shamrock RoversEgnatia or DrawWON
13 Aug 26Dinamo City v FK AudaDinamo City or DrawWON
13 Aug 26Hajduk Split v Zalgiris VilniusHajduk Split or DrawWON
13 Aug 26Heart of Midlothian v BenficaOver 1.5 goalsWON
13 Aug 26Shelbourne v Ajax AmsterdamShelbourne or DrawWON
13 Aug 26Anderlecht v PAOKAnderlecht or DrawWON
13 Aug 26Rangers v Jagiellonia BialystokUnder 2.5 goalsWON
13 Aug 26Austria Vienna v Beitar JerusalemAustria Vienna or DrawWON
13 Aug 26Györi ETO FC v Riga FCGyöri ETO FC or DrawWON
13 Aug 26KAA Gent v IFK GöteborgKAA Gent or DrawWON
13 Aug 26Motherwell v HJK HelsinkiMotherwell or DrawWON
13 Aug 26FC Sion v FC NoahFC Sion or DrawWON
13 Aug 26CSKA Sofia v Maccabi Tel-AvivCSKA Sofia or DrawLOST

This record is built one day at a time — today's predictions are already on it, logged and waiting to settle.

See today's free predictions →See what Pro includes

Explore & filter every prediction

Live, filterable view of the full history by league and confidence band. For accuracy broken down by competition, band and market, open the prediction explorer.

Track Record

0 settled predictions · 0 pending

Auto-tracked

Loading the full pick history…

High-Confidence Accuracy

0%

0 of 0 calls correct

Independently Verifiable

✓

Picks hash-anchored before kickoff (backfilled entries flagged)

Longest Odds Called

—

Least likely combination the model called correctly

Predictions Tracked

0

Predictions logged before kickoff (except flagged backfilled entries)

This Week vs Target

Last 7 days · 0 fixtures settled

vs long-run tier targets
HIGH CONFIDENCE·
—
0 settled · need 3+
Not enough data
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE·
—
0 settled · need 3+
Not enough data
OUTSIDE SHOT·
—
0 settled · need 3+
Not enough data

Pick Tiers

HIGH CONFIDENCE
0%
0W / 0L
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
0%
0W / 0L
OUTSIDE SHOT
0%
0W / 0L

No settled predictions yet.

Predictions are logged automatically and settled after matches finish.

Model Validation Progress0/500

Full per-league calibration unlocks at 500 settled predictions