Oviedo are a side built on defensive solidity rather than attacking potency, conceding 1.57 xG per match against an output of just 1.10—a profile that has left them vulnerable despite their efforts at the back. Recent form has been dire, with just one win in their last four league matches and a run of defeats that reflects their inability to convert limited chances. With no fixture in the immediate window, the focus remains on their underlying metrics: the gap between shots conceded and shots created suggests they'll continue to struggle unless attacking patterns improve materially. Bawler's model has backed this team at a 50% banker rate, reflecting the volatility in their outcomes despite a relatively stable defensive base.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Oviedo were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the SPAIN: LaLiga average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Oviedo are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Oviedo actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Oviedo's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.