Dundee
Dundee operate as a defensively vulnerable outfit, conceding 1.62 expected goals per match against a modest attacking output of 1.11—a profile that has materialised grimly in practice across their last three settled fixtures, all defeats. Their xG deficit sits at minus 0.51 per game, suggesting structural problems rather than bad luck. With no fixtures in the immediate window, the model's next opportunity to assess this side arrives shortly; Bawler's Poisson picks have converted at 100% on Dundee matches historically, a baseline worth monitoring as they seek to arrest their current form.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Dundee were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the SCOTLAND: Premiership average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Dundee are above average there.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Dundee's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.