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Bawler / NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie / Volendam

Volendam

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie

Volendam operate as a modest offensive unit struggling with defensive solidity, posting just 1.38 xG for whilst conceding 1.75 per match—a profile that mirrors their inconsistent recent run of one win, two draws and two losses across five fixtures. Their underlying metrics suggest vulnerability to teams with clinical finishing, whilst their own limited attacking output constrains ceiling potential in favourable matchups. With no imminent fixture in the current window, the model will sharpen as the schedule clarifies; historically, Bawler's banker selections on Volendam have converted at 60 per cent, indicating reasonable predictability in their most heavily-backed scenarios.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.38-0.34 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.75+0.06 vs league
◇ = NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Volendam were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Volendam are above average there.

> xG performance · last 5 matches
0123@ Sparta Rotterdam: actual 0, xG 1.30vs Feyenoord: actual 0, xG 1.27@ Heracles: actual 2, xG 1.20@ Excelsior: actual 1, xG 1.58vs Telstar: actual 1, xG 1.57@SpartaFeyeno@Heracl@ExcelsTelsta
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -2.9 goals vs xG (-0.58/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Volendam actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.38 xG per match · -0.34 above the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average of 1.73.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 75% of the time on Volendam fixtures (3/4).
> Form · last 5
Overall: 1W / 2D / 2L · Avg goals 0.8 for, 1.0 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Volendam's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
5
5 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.38
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.75
per match
Banker Hit Rate
60%
3/5 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Volendam matches
60%
hit rate over 5 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Volendam fixture, the model lands 3 out of 5 (60%). Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Recent matches (last 5)

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