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Bawler / France: Ligue 1 / PSG
PSG crest

PSG

France: Ligue 1

PSG remain a sharp attacking unit with an xG profile of 2.03 per match, though their 1.24 conceded suggests defensive vulnerabilities persist. Recent form has been largely positive across seven settled fixtures, though the isolated loss and draw hint at inconsistency despite a 5-1-1 record. With no immediate fixture in the window, focus turns to their next assignment, where the model will recalibrate based on opponent profile and venue. Bawler's Banker selections have landed in 71% of PSG matches, offering reliable early guidance for the season ahead.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.98+0.35 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.250.26 vs league
◇ = France: Ligue 1 average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals PSG were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the France: Ligue 1 average — if the bar extends past the diamond, PSG are above average there.

> xG performance · last 8 matches
0123@ Nice: actual 1, xG 1.74vs Toulouse: actual 3, xG 1.86vs Liverpool: actual 2, xG 1.84vs Lorient: actual 2, xG 2.73vs Brest: actual 1, xG 2.47@ Lens: actual 2, xG 1.84@ Paris: actual 1, xG 1.76vs Arsenal: actual 1, xG 1.62@NiceToulouLiverpLorienBrest@Lens@ParisArsena
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -2.8 goals vs xG (-0.36/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals PSG actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.98 xG per match · +0.35 above the France: Ligue 1 average of 1.63.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.25 xG per match · -0.26 vs league average of 1.50.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 75% of the time on PSG fixtures (3/4).
> Form · last 5
Overall: 5W / 2D / 1L · Avg goals 1.6 for, 0.8 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from PSG's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
8
8 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.98
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.25
per match
Banker Hit Rate
75%
6/8 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on PSG matches
75%
hit rate over 8 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a PSG fixture, the model lands 6 out of 8 (75%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on PSG by market
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result75%3/4

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on PSG fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for PSG matches.

> Recent matches (last 8)

> More from Bawler