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Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Dortmund
Dortmund crest

Dortmund

GERMANY: Bundesliga

Dortmund operate as a genuinely clinical attacking unit, converting 1.86 expected goals per match whilst remaining reasonably composed defensively at 1.33 conceded—a profile that rewards backing their offensive output. Recent form has been emphatic: four wins in five settled fixtures demonstrates sustained control, with only one defeat disrupting an otherwise dominant run. With no upcoming fixtures in the immediate window, their next opportunity will arrive in standard fixture scheduling. Bawler's banker selections on Dortmund have maintained a perfect 100% conversion rate across five picks, establishing a rare and notable edge on this opponent.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.86+0.24 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.330.38 vs league
◇ = GERMANY: Bundesliga average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Dortmund were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the GERMANY: Bundesliga average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Dortmund are above average there.

> xG performance · last 5 matches
01234vs Hamburger SV: actual 3, xG 1.93@ Hoffenheim: actual 1, xG 2.06vs Freiburg: actual 4, xG 1.65vs Eintracht Frankfurt: actual 3, xG 2.09@ Werder Bremen: actual 2, xG 1.59Hambur@HoffenFreibuEintra@Werder
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +3.7 goals vs xG (+0.74/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Dortmund actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.86 xG per match · +0.24 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.63.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.33 xG per match · -0.38 vs league average of 1.70.
On a 3-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 4W / 0D / 1L · Avg goals 2.6 for, 1.2 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Dortmund's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
5
5 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.86
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.33
per match
Banker Hit Rate
100%
5/5 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Dortmund matches
100%
hit rate over 5 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Dortmund fixture, the model lands 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Dortmund by market
Result100%2/2
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Dortmund fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Dortmund matches.

> Recent matches (last 5)

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