World Cup 2026 — kicks off 11 June.See predictions →
Bawler / USA: MLS / Atlanta United
Atlanta United crest

Atlanta United

USA: MLS

Atlanta United operate as a finely balanced attacking side, posting modest but consistent output at 1.40 xG per match whilst maintaining a relatively secure defensive shape at 1.33 conceded. Recent form has been mixed across their settled fixtures—one win, one draw, one loss—suggesting volatility in converting chances rather than systematic weaknesses. With no fixture scheduled in the immediate window, the model remains primed for their next assignment. Bawler's banker selections on Atlanta have maintained a perfect 100% conversion rate across three picks, indicating strong predictive alignment on their underlying performance metrics.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.31-0.14 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.380.05 vs league
◇ = USA: MLS average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Atlanta United were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Atlanta United are above average there.

> xG performance · last 4 matches
0123vs CF Montréal: actual 3, xG 1.63vs LA Galaxy: actual 1, xG 0.95@ Orlando City: actual 1, xG 1.62@ Columbus Crew: actual 0, xG 1.06CF MonLA Gal@Orland@Columb
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -0.3 goals vs xG (-0.06/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Atlanta United actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> Form · last 4
Overall: 1W / 1D / 2L · Avg goals 1.3 for, 1.5 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Atlanta United's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
4
4 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.31
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.38
per match
Banker Hit Rate
100%
4/4 picks
> Bawler's record on Atlanta United by market
Result100%2/2
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Atlanta United fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Atlanta United matches.

> Recent matches (last 4)

> More from Bawler