FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Tuesday, 08 September 2026

Al Ettifaq 0–0 Al FaisalyMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 08 September 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Ettifaq or draw at 70%. Bawler had Al Ettifaq at 47%, the draw at 23% and Al Faisaly at 30%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Ettifaq win
47%
Draw
23%
Result
Al Faisaly win
30%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.0 – 1.6
Total 3.6
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.1
From the match itself

The match produced 3.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 88%
Missed
Medium confidence
Al Ettifaq or draw
Pre-match: 70%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals dominates at 89% confidence—Al Ettifaq's 2.03 expected goals and 0.33 xG edge over Al Faisaly projects a high-scoring encounter at home."

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