Manchester City Prediction
Per-game numbers from 51 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
Manchester City prediction: for Manchester City's next match — Manchester City vs Bournemouth on Sunday 23 Aug, 13:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Manchester City win looks most likely (63%).
Manchester City carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.93 expected goals per game against a Premier League average of 1.44. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.50 goals a game against 1.93 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is AFC Bournemouth, where the model makes them clear favourites at 63%.
Manchester City in numbers
51 competitive matches · friendlies excludedReal counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →
Next match
Home vs Bournemouth · Sunday 23 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Attack vs defence
How Manchester City compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.44 scored, 1.47 conceded).
How Bawler has done on Manchester City
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.
Recent matches (last 6)
Transfer activity
Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →
FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)
HaalandFWD · £15.5m · 72.3% owned5.3 pts
AndersonMID · £6.5m · 10.3% owned3.7 pts
CherkiMID · £7.5m · 8.4% owned3.6 pts
O'ReillyDEF · £6.5m · 21.9% owned3.5 pts
GuéhiDEF · £6.0m · 21.5% owned3.3 pts