Over 2.5 Goals 13 October 2026

Over 2.5 Goals predictions today

Strongest Over 2.5 Goals call today
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
3.94 expected goals
17
today
28
coming up
3
competitions
Champions League · 20:00
InternazionalevClub Brugge

Every Over 2.5 Goals call below is the model's own output, ranked highest probability first — 45 fixtures across 3 competitions, with no curation step in between.

Each call is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, then time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain so it can't be edited afterwards — see the proof. Model last rerun .

Today's Over 2.5 Goals predictions

17 fixtures

Ranked by model probability — higher means more confident.

Upcoming Over 2.5 Goals predictions

to Thursday 15 Oct

Already published and locked. Later fixtures join the list as their calls go up, about two days before kickoff.

Tomorrow

13
Bodo/GlimtvBorussia Dortmund
Over 2.5 Goals
Champions League · 20:00 · 3.29 expected goals
64%
Slovan BratislavavVfB Stuttgart
Over 2.5 Goals
Champions League · 20:00 · 3.29 expected goals
64%
AS RomavReal Madrid
Over 2.5 Goals
Champions League · 20:00 · 3.25 expected goals
63%
Manchester CityvParis Saint-Germain
Over 2.5 Goals
Champions League · 20:00 · 3.21 expected goals
62%
Norwich CityvSouthampton
Over 2.5 Goals
Championship · 19:45 · 3.17 expected goals
61%
LASK LinzvLiverpool
Over 2.5 Goals
Champions League · 17:45 · 3.12 expected goals
60%
Aston VillavFenerbahce
Over 2.5 Goals
Champions League · 20:00 · 3.12 expected goals
60%
Feyenoord RotterdamvComo
Over 2.5 Goals
Champions League · 17:45 · 3.08 expected goals
59%
Shakhtar DonetskvAEK Athens
Over 2.5 Goals
Champions League · 20:00 · 2.88 expected goals
55%
Real BetisvFC Porto
Over 2.5 Goals
Champions League · 20:00 · 2.84 expected goals
54%
Lincoln CityvWest Ham United
Over 2.5 Goals
Championship · 20:00 · 2.80 expected goals
53%
PortsmouthvSheffield United
Over 2.5 Goals
Championship · 19:45 · 2.70 expected goals
51%
Queens Park RangersvDerby County
Over 2.5 Goals
Championship · 19:45 · 2.68 expected goals
50%

Thursday 15 Oct

15
FC CincinnativNew England Revolution
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 00:30 · 3.51 expected goals
68%
Inter Miami CFvNew York City FC
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 00:30 · 3.48 expected goals
68%
Nashville SCvSporting Kansas City
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 01:30 · 3.46 expected goals
67%
LA GalaxyvPortland Timbers
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 03:30 · 3.41 expected goals
66%
Chicago Fire FCvPhiladelphia Union
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 01:30 · 3.32 expected goals
65%
Real Salt LakevSan Jose Earthquakes
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 02:30 · 3.30 expected goals
64%
St. Louis CITY SCvVancouver Whitecaps
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 01:30 · 3.27 expected goals
64%
D.C. UnitedvRed Bull New York
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 00:30 · 3.27 expected goals
64%
Toronto FCvOrlando City SC
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 00:30 · 3.27 expected goals
63%
Colorado RapidsvMinnesota United FC
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 02:30 · 3.11 expected goals
60%
LAFCvAustin FC
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 03:30 · 3.08 expected goals
59%
Columbus CrewvCharlotte FC
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 00:30 · 3.04 expected goals
59%
FC DallasvSeattle Sounders FC
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 01:30 · 2.97 expected goals
57%
CF MontréalvAtlanta United FC
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 00:30 · 2.94 expected goals
56%
San Diego FCvHouston Dynamo FC
Over 2.5 Goals
MLS · 03:30 · 2.91 expected goals
56%

How recent Over 2.5 Goals calls landed

67 of 100 — 67%

Every one published before kickoff and graded off the final score afterwards, misses included.

12 OctEyupspor 0–4 GoztepeLanded
12 OctFC Famalicao 1–4 AlvercaMissed
12 OctTorino 2–1 UdineseLanded
12 OctAtalanta 3–1 VeneziaLanded
12 OctLevante 3–3 SevillaLanded
12 OctCoventry City 4–1 Newcastle UnitedLanded
12 OctSt. Louis CITY SC 6–2 LA GalaxyLanded
11 OctBesiktas 2–1 KocaelisporMissed
11 OctGaziantep FK 0–3 Çorum FKLanded
11 OctKonyaspor 0–0 Istanbul BasaksehirMissed

How the model calls Over 2.5 Goals

"Over 2.5 Goals" asks whether the combined home + away goals at full-time will be more than 2.5. Bawler estimates the expected goals for each side from recent scoring form, then converts that into a probability the total will be 2.5 or more.

It is the same model that powers our public track record: it works out how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending, factors in opponent strength and home advantage, then recalibrates against real results every week — so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%.

Full methodologyHow past calls landedPre-kickoff proof

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