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Real Madrid

FormWWWLW
94%
Our hit rate on RMA
16
Forecasts settled

Fixture run · next 4

Colour = model difficulty for Real Madrid
ROM (A)
14 Oct
SEV (H)
18 Oct
RLE (H)
21 Oct
BAR (A)
25 Oct

This season · per game

Bar = vs LaLiga average · 9 matches since 1 Jul 2026
17.7lge avg 13.0
Shots per game
7.2lge avg 4.6
Shots on target per game
2.3lge avg 1.5
Goals scored per game
1.0lge avg 1.5
Goals conceded per game
2.5lge avg 1.4
xG for per game
1.1lge avg 1.5
xG against per game
6.8lge avg 4.9
Corners per game
Next fixture · Wed 14 Oct 20:00
RomaRomavsReal MadridReal Madrid
High confidence · Over 1.5 goals84%
Real Madrid win37%
Draw25%
Roma win39%
Most likely score1-1 · 10%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to scoreYes · 65%
Locked ~17:00 UK, before kickoffFull match preview →
Key players · attacking outputPer 90 · this season
Real MadridKylian MbappéFWD · 1.12 xG per 901.12
Real MadridArda GülerMID · 0.52 xG per 900.52
Real MadridVinícius JúniorFWD · 0.48 xG per 900.48
Our record on Real Madrid · settled in publicFull track record →
10 OctReal Madrid v VillarrealReal Madrid to win62%WON
20 SeptAtlético Madrid v Real MadridOver 1.5 goals84%WON
15 SeptElche v Real MadridOver 1.5 goals82%WON
12 SeptReal Madrid v Rayo VallecanoReal Madrid to win62%WON
Real MadridReal Madrid· continues from the hero above61 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
WIN1–0vs Villarreal10 OctLOSS1–2@ Atlético Madrid20 SeptWIN3–2@ Elche15 SeptWIN4–1vs Rayo Vallecano12 SeptWIN2–1vs Inter Milan8 SeptLOSS0–1@ Real Betis4 Sept
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals2.50.8
Shots19.212.0
On target7.73.8
Corners6.74.4
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.81.3
Shots15.812.8
On target5.94.6
Corners5.74.3
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals1.20.4
Shots9.04.9
On target3.61.5
Corners3.21.6
All 31 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.5
Shots8.35.8
On target3.12.0
Corners3.12.3
All 30 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals1.30.5
Shots10.27.1
On target4.12.3
Corners3.52.8
All 31 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals1.00.8
Shots7.56.9
On target2.82.6
Corners2.62.0
All 30 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 26 players

Coach José Mourinho · ★ = model's key threats · from FotMob, 8 Oct 2026
Goalkeepers
13Andriy Lunin27 · UKR
Defenders
2Raúl Asencio23 · ESP
3Éder Militao28 · BRA
4Dean Huijsen21 · ESP
16Ibrahima Konaté27 · FRA
+5 more
17Marc Cucurella28 · ESP
18Alvaro Carreras23 · ESP
22Antonio Rüdiger33 · GER
23Ferland Mendy31 · FRA
24Denzel Dumfries30 · NED
Midfielders
5Jude Bellingham23 · ENG
15Arda Güler★21 · TUR
+2 more
20Bernardo Silva32 · POR
27Thiago Pitarch19 · ESP
Forwards
7Vinícius Júnior★26 · BRA
9Endrick20 · BRA
10Kylian Mbappé★27 · FRA
11Rodrygo25 · BRA
19Carlos Espí21 · ESP
+2 more
21Brahim Díaz27 · MAR
25Yan Diomande19 · CIV

Transfer desk · this window

All 20 moves →
OUTManuel ÁngelRM · to Fulham€4.6m1 Sept
INSergio MartínezST · from Racing Santander€3m31 Aug
INOscar Naasei OppongRB · from Granada€2m27 Aug
OUTFranco MastantuonoRW · to FiorentinaLoan7 Aug
INYan DiomandeRW · from RB Leipzig€125m6 Aug

Common questions

Who do Real Madrid play next?

Real Madrid play Roma away on Wed 14 Oct 20:00 UK. The published call is over 1.5 goals, at 84%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Real Madrid v Roma call?

High confidence: Over 1.5 goals, at 84%. The forecast is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Real Madrid?

15 of 16 settled Real Madrid forecasts were right (94%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Real Madrid averaging this season?

17.7 shots and 2.3 goals a game, conceding 1.0, counted over 9 competitive matches (since 1 Jul 2026) with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Real Madrid signed and sold?

20 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Sergio Martínez, Oscar Naasei Oppong, Yan Diomande. The newest out: Manuel Ángel, Franco Mastantuono. 7 of this club's moves have a written report. Follow the transfer desk

Real Madrid moves we wrote up

7 written up · 13 more confirmed in the windowTransfer desk →
In
Yan DiomandeRW · from RB Leipzig€125m6 Aug
Carlos EspíST · from Levante€25m30 Jul
Denzel DumfriesRB · from Inter€20m5 Jul
Marc CucurellaLB · from Chelsea€55m15 Jun
Out
César PalaciosLW · to Fulham€10m3 Aug
Gonzalo GarcíaST · to Fulham€40m3 Aug
Nico PazAM · to Como€60m30 Jun

The Real Madrid fixtures after that

Win, draw and loss are Real Madrid's own chances
DateFixtureWinDrawLossO/U 2.5BTTSStrongest call
Sun 18 Octvs Sevilla71%18%11%Over 63%Yes 52%Real Madrid to win 71%
Wed 21 Octvs RB Leipzig61%20%19%Over 70%Yes 65%Over 2.5 goals 70%
Sun 25 Oct@ Barcelona24%21%54%Over 70%Yes 68%Over 2.5 goals 70%

Head-to-head · the fixtures ahead

Every recorded meeting, oriented to Real Madrid
OpponentMetWDLLast meetingPreview
Sevilla10910Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid · May 2026Match preview →
RB Leipzig4211Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig · Mar 2024Match preview →
Barcelona10307Barcelona 2-0 Real Madrid · May 2026Match preview →

LaLiga table

FotMob, 13 Oct 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Barcelona880034-7+2724
2Atlético Madrid861118-8+1019
3Real Betis861114-9+519
4Real Madrid860219-8+1118
5Sevilla842213-12+114
6Real Sociedad841312-15-313
7Deportivo Alavés832312-8+411
8Deportivo A Coruña824212-11+110
9Celta Vigo81528-6+28
10Athletic Club62227-6+18
11Villarreal822413-1308
12Espanyol822411-1108
13Rayo Vallecano722311-16-58
14Getafe82244-10-68
15Racing Santander822413-23-108
16Osasuna82248-18-108
17Levante713311-15-46
18Elche813411-17-66
19Valencia81256-15-95
20Málaga80444-13-94