BTTS · Sunday, 16 August 2026
4 fixtures on today's slate, ranked by Bawler's model probability for the BTTS market. Predictions are provisional until lineups are confirmed (around 75 minutes before kickoff), when each one is locked and cryptographically anchored to Bitcoin so we mathematically can't edit it after the result is in.
Today · BTTS
Ranked by model probability. Higher = more confident. Figures are as of the latest build and stay provisional until each fixture locks at lineup confirmation.
| League | Fixture | Prediction | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | Chicago Fire FCv 23:00 | BTTS — Yes | 61% |
| MLS | New York City FCv 23:00 | BTTS — Yes | 58% |
| Primeira Liga | FC Famalicaov 20:30 | BTTS — No | 52% |
| Primeira Liga | 20:30 | BTTS — No | 51% |
Upcoming · BTTS
These are early reads and will move as team news lands — each one is provisional until it locks at lineup confirmation.
| Date | League | Fixture | Prediction | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | MLS | Austin FCvFC Dallas 01:30 | BTTS — Yes | 57% |
| 17 Aug | MLS | Seattle Sounders FCv 03:30 | BTTS — Yes | 57% |
| 17 Aug | LaLiga | Deportivov | BTTS — No | 55% |
| 18 Aug | Champions League - Qualification | BTTS — Yes | 53% | |
| 17 Aug | Super Lig | BTTS — No | 52% | |
| 17 Aug | Liga Portugal | Casa Piav | BTTS — No | 52% |
| 17 Aug | Championship | BTTS — No | 51% | |
| 18 Aug | Champions League - Qualification | BTTS — Yes | 50% | |
| 18 Aug | Champions League - Qualification | Levski Sofiav | BTTS — Yes | 50% |
> dated_predictions() · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Fresh both teams to score predictions for the next fixtures, regenerated by Bawler's model each morning and logged before kickoff. Last regenerated .
Bawler's model has 4 both teams to score predictions for today. The most likely is Chicago Fire FC v Portland Timbers at 61%.
Bawler's model has 6 both teams to score predictions for tomorrow. The most likely is Austin FC v FC Dallas at 57%.
Bawler's model has 4 both teams to score predictions for this weekend. The most likely is Chicago Fire FC v Portland Timbers at 61%.
Every prediction above is logged before kickoff and settled publicly, right or wrong — see how past predictions landed.
How the model calls it
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) asks whether each side scores at least one goal in 90 minutes. Bawler derives this directly from the per-side expected goals — high mutual scoring rates push BTTS Yes; lopsided fixtures with one weak attack push BTTS No.
Every probability above comes from the same model that powers our public track record: it estimates how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending form, factors in international strength and home advantage, then works out the probability of each outcome. Those probabilities are recalibrated against real results every week, so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%. Probabilities are the model's honest estimate, not sales copy.
Want the “why” on a specific call? Click into the match page for the full breakdown. See the methodology page for the full mathematical write-up, or /verify for proof every prediction above was published before kickoff.
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