prediction_explorer
Every Bawler pick is logged before kickoff and settled automatically from live results — no deletions, no edits. Use the filters to slice 3,159 settled predictions by competition, confidence band (High confidence / Medium confidence / Outside shot) and market, and watch the accuracy recompute live. The full findings table below is baked into the page so it reads without JavaScript.
Coverage 2026-03-18 → 2026-08-16 · 42 competitions · 176 markets
Settled-prediction accuracy for each competition with at least 10 High confidence picks, most-covered first. Every figure is recomputable from the same ledger on the track record.
| Competition | High confidence | Medium confidence | Outside shot | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All competitions | 74.1% (865/1168) | 51.2% (528/1032) | 27.7% (266/959) | 3,159 |
| USA: MLS | 73.0% (119/163) | 52.5% (63/120) | 34.9% (52/149) | 432 |
| World: World Cup | 68.3% (71/104) | 58.6% (34/58) | 28.8% (30/104) | 266 |
| World: International Friendly | 72.8% (67/92) | 65.2% (60/92) | 26.1% (24/92) | 276 |
| England: Championship | 79.7% (51/64) | 54.7% (35/64) | 20.9% (9/43) | 171 |
| Spain: La Liga | 75.0% (45/60) | 43.3% (26/60) | 26.0% (13/50) | 170 |
| Europe: Conference League - Qualification | 71.2% (42/59) | 54.5% (24/44) | 23.7% (14/59) | 162 |
| Italy: Serie A | 64.9% (37/57) | 45.6% (26/57) | 27.7% (13/47) | 161 |
| Netherlands: Eredivisie | 83.3% (45/54) | 43.5% (20/46) | 45.7% (21/46) | 146 |
| World: Friendly International | 77.8% (42/54) | 46.3% (25/54) | — (0/0) | 108 |
| England: Premier League | 72.5% (37/51) | 41.2% (21/51) | 33.3% (14/42) | 144 |
| Portugal: Primeira Liga | 77.6% (38/49) | 48.9% (23/47) | 33.3% (13/39) | 135 |
| France: Ligue 1 | 69.6% (32/46) | 47.8% (22/46) | 22.2% (8/36) | 128 |
| Turkey: Süper Lig | 72.5% (29/40) | 47.5% (19/40) | 18.9% (7/37) | 117 |
| Germany: Bundesliga | 88.9% (32/36) | 55.6% (20/36) | 28.6% (8/28) | 100 |
| England: EFL Cup | 61.8% (21/34) | 70.4% (19/27) | 5.9% (2/34) | 95 |
| Europe: Europa League - Qualification | 75.0% (18/24) | 58.8% (10/17) | 25.0% (6/24) | 65 |
| Belgium: Pro League | 90.5% (19/21) | 40.0% (8/20) | 38.1% (8/21) | 62 |
| Belgium: Jupiler Pro League | 85.7% (18/21) | 42.1% (8/19) | 21.4% (3/14) | 54 |
| Europe: Conference League - Play Offs | 72.2% (13/18) | 50.0% (9/18) | 20.0% (2/10) | 46 |
| Europe: Champions League - Qualification | 75.0% (12/16) | 61.5% (8/13) | 12.5% (2/16) | 45 |
| Europe: Europa League - Play Offs | 81.3% (13/16) | 18.8% (3/16) | 33.3% (3/9) | 41 |
| Scotland: Premiership | 71.4% (10/14) | 69.2% (9/13) | 62.5% (5/8) | 35 |
| Europe: World Cup - Qualification - Promotion | 75.0% (9/12) | 41.7% (5/12) | — (0/0) | 24 |
High confidence is the free, safest pick; Medium confidence and Outside shot are the higher-variance bands. An Outside shot is expected to land less often than a High confidence call by design — read accuracy against each band's purpose, not against each other.
Combine competition, confidence band, market and result. The accuracy recomputes as you filter.
| Date | Match | Tier | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 26 | Watford v Southampton | High confidence | 1X | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | Watford v Southampton | Medium confidence | Over 2.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | Watford v Southampton | Outside shot | Draw | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | RAAL La Louvière v KAA Gent | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | RAAL La Louvière v KAA Gent | Medium confidence | Home Win | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | RAAL La Louvière v KAA Gent | Outside shot | Away Win | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | Feyenoord Rotterdam v Go Ahead Eagles | High confidence | Home Win | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | Feyenoord Rotterdam v Go Ahead Eagles | Medium confidence | BTTS No | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | Feyenoord Rotterdam v Go Ahead Eagles | Outside shot | Under 2.5 Goals | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | FC Twente v PEC Zwolle | High confidence | Home Win | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | FC Twente v PEC Zwolle | Medium confidence | BTTS No | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | FC Twente v PEC Zwolle | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | ADO Den Haag v FC Groningen | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | ADO Den Haag v FC Groningen | Medium confidence | Over 2.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | ADO Den Haag v FC Groningen | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | Houston Dynamo FC v LA Galaxy | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | Houston Dynamo FC v LA Galaxy | Medium confidence | Over 2.5 Goals | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | Houston Dynamo FC v LA Galaxy | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | Nashville SC v Inter Miami CF | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | Nashville SC v Inter Miami CF | Outside shot | Away Win | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City | Outside shot | X2 | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | LAFC v San Diego FC | High confidence | LAFC or Draw | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | LAFC v San Diego FC | Outside shot | Draw | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | San Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis CITY SC | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | San Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis CITY SC | Outside shot | Away Win | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | Waasland-Beveren v Anderlecht | High confidence | Waasland-Beveren or Draw | WON |
| 16 Aug 26 | Waasland-Beveren v Anderlecht | Medium confidence | Over 2.5 Goals | LOST |
| 16 Aug 26 | Waasland-Beveren v Anderlecht | Outside shot | Draw | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Bolton Wanderers v Preston North End | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Bolton Wanderers v Preston North End | Medium confidence | Over 2.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Bolton Wanderers v Preston North End | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Bristol City v Millwall | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Bristol City v Millwall | Medium confidence | Over 2.5 Goals | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Bristol City v Millwall | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Charlton Athletic v Derby County | High confidence | 1X | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Charlton Athletic v Derby County | Medium confidence | Under 2.5 Goals | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Charlton Athletic v Derby County | Outside shot | Away Win | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Middlesbrough v Lincoln City | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Middlesbrough v Lincoln City | Medium confidence | Under 2.5 Goals | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Middlesbrough v Lincoln City | Outside shot | X2 | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Norwich City v West Bromwich Albion | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Norwich City v West Bromwich Albion | Medium confidence | BTTS No | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Norwich City v West Bromwich Albion | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Portsmouth v Queens Park Rangers | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Portsmouth v Queens Park Rangers | Medium confidence | BTTS No | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Portsmouth v Queens Park Rangers | Outside shot | X2 | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Stoke City v Swansea City | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Stoke City v Swansea City | Medium confidence | Under 2.5 Goals | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Stoke City v Swansea City | Outside shot | X2 | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Sheffield United v Birmingham City | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Sheffield United v Birmingham City | Medium confidence | Under 2.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Sheffield United v Birmingham City | Outside shot | X2 | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Alavés v Getafe | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Alavés v Getafe | Medium confidence | BTTS No | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Alavés v Getafe | Outside shot | X2 | LOST |
| 15 Aug 26 | Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano | High confidence | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 15 Aug 26 | Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano | Medium confidence | BTTS No | LOST |
Showing 60 of 3159 matching picks · every number recomputes from the same settled ledger published on the track record.