Correct Score predictions today

Correct Score pays out when you predict the exact full-time scoreline. It's the hardest mainstream market (typical favourite scoreline ~12-15% probability), which means even small model edges translate into big returns. Bawler computes the joint probability of every realistic scoreline from 0-0 to 5-5 and surfaces the most likely.

Every probability above comes from the same Poisson model that powers our public track record — bivariate Poisson on rolling expected goals, FIFA-ranked international adjustment, recent form, and a small home-advantage prior. Probabilities are the model's honest estimate, not sales copy. No favourite-longshot bias compression.

Want the “why” on a specific pick? Click into the match page for the full breakdown. See the methodology page for the full mathematical write-up, or /verify for proof every prediction above was published before kickoff.