Draw No Bet · Sunday, 16 August 2026

Draw No Bet (DNB) predictions today

4 fixtures on today's slate, ranked by Bawler's model probability for the Draw No Bet market. Predictions are provisional until lineups are confirmed (around 75 minutes before kickoff), when each one is locked and cryptographically anchored to Bitcoin so we mathematically can't edit it after the result is in.

Today · Draw No Bet

🎯 Today's Draw No Bet predictions

Ranked by model probability. Higher = more confident. Figures are as of the latest build and stay provisional until each fixture locks at lineup confirmation.

LeagueFixturePredictionProb
Primeira LigaBragavGil Vicente
20:30
Braga (Draw No Bet)76%
MLSChicago Fire FCvPortland Timbers
23:00
Chicago Fire FC (Draw No Bet)72%
Primeira LigaFC FamalicaovMaritimo
20:30
FC Famalicao (Draw No Bet)70%
MLSNew York City FCvPhiladelphia Union
23:00
New York City FC (Draw No Bet)60%

Upcoming · Draw No Bet

🗓️ Upcoming Draw No Bet predictions (next 14 days)

These are early reads and will move as team news lands — each one is provisional until it locks at lineup confirmation.

DateLeagueFixturePredictionProb
17 AugLaLigaDeportivovElcheDeportivo (Draw No Bet)76%
17 AugSuper LigSamsunsporvGoztepeSamsunspor (Draw No Bet)72%
18 AugChampions League - QualificationFenerbahcevLyonFenerbahce (Draw No Bet)70%
17 AugChampionshipCardiff CityvWrexhamCardiff City (Draw No Bet)70%
17 AugMLSSeattle Sounders FCvVancouver Whitecaps
03:30
Vancouver Whitecaps (Draw No Bet)61%
17 AugMLSAustin FCvFC Dallas
01:30
FC Dallas (Draw No Bet)60%
17 AugLiga PortugalCasa PiavBenficaBenfica (Draw No Bet)59%
18 AugChampions League - QualificationDinamo ZagrebvViking FKDinamo Zagreb (Draw No Bet)56%
18 AugChampions League - QualificationLevski SofiavAEK AthensLevski Sofia (Draw No Bet)56%

> dated_predictions() · Sunday, 16 August 2026

Draw no bet predictions: today, tomorrow & this weekend

Fresh draw no bet predictions for the next fixtures, regenerated by Bawler's model each morning and logged before kickoff. Last regenerated .

Every prediction above is logged before kickoff and settled publicly, right or wrong — see how past predictions landed.

How the model calls it

🧠 How Bawler calls Draw No Bet

Draw No Bet asks which side wins once the draw is taken out of the equation — if the match ends level, it simply doesn't count. It's the cleanest way to say "this side is stronger" when a draw is genuinely plausible. Bawler computes DNB probability as P(side wins) / (P(side wins) + P(other side wins)).

Every probability above comes from the same model that powers our public track record: it estimates how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending form, factors in international strength and home advantage, then works out the probability of each outcome. Those probabilities are recalibrated against real results every week, so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%. Probabilities are the model's honest estimate, not sales copy.

Want the “why” on a specific call? Click into the match page for the full breakdown. See the methodology page for the full mathematical write-up, or /verify for proof every prediction above was published before kickoff.