Draw No Bet (DNB) predictions today
Arsenalv
LilleEvery Draw No Bet call below is the model's own output, ranked highest probability first — 45 fixtures across 3 competitions, with no curation step in between.
Each call is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, then time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain so it can't be edited afterwards — see the proof. Model last rerun .
Today's Draw No Bet predictions
17 fixturesRanked by model probability — higher means more confident.
ArsenalvLille
Internazionalev
Club Brugge
Wolverhampton Wanderersv
Bolton Wanderers
Viking FKv
Bayern Munich
Burnleyv
Charlton Athletic
Galatasarayv
Barcelona
Birmingham Cityv
Preston North End
RB Leipzigv
PSV Eindhoven
Stoke Cityv
Middlesbrough
Villarrealv
Napoli
Millwallv
Swansea City
Cardiff Cityv
Watford
Lensv
Sporting CP
Bristol Cityv
Blackburn Rovers
Atlético Madridv
Manchester United
Sabah FKv
Slavia Prague
Wrexhamv
West Bromwich AlbionUpcoming Draw No Bet predictions
to Thursday 15 OctAlready published and locked. Later fixtures join the list as their calls go up, about two days before kickoff.
Tomorrow
13
LASK Linzv
Liverpool
Aston Villav
Fenerbahce
Slovan Bratislavav
VfB Stuttgart
Shakhtar Donetskv
AEK Athens
Manchester Cityv
Paris Saint-Germain
Lincoln Cityv
West Ham United
Queens Park Rangersv
Derby County
Norwich Cityv
Southampton
Feyenoord Rotterdamv
Como
Portsmouthv
Sheffield United
Real Betisv
FC Porto
Bodo/Glimtv
Borussia Dortmund
AS Romav
Real MadridThursday 15 Oct
15
Nashville SCv
Sporting Kansas City
LAFCv
Austin FC
Inter Miami CFv
New York City FC
San Diego FCv
Houston Dynamo FC
Columbus Crewv
Charlotte FC
Colorado Rapidsv
Minnesota United FC
D.C. Unitedv
Red Bull New York
CF Montréalv
Atlanta United FC
FC Dallasv
Seattle Sounders FC
LA Galaxyv
Portland TimbersHow recent Draw No Bet calls landed
74 of 100 — 74%Every one published before kickoff and graded off the final score afterwards, misses included. Draws are excluded from Draw No Bet rather than counted as losses, because the market does not resolve on them.
How the model calls Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet asks which side wins once the draw is taken out of the equation — if the match ends level, it simply doesn't count. It's the cleanest way to say "this side is stronger" when a draw is genuinely plausible. Bawler computes DNB probability as P(side wins) / (P(side wins) + P(other side wins)).
It is the same model that powers our public track record: it works out how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending, factors in opponent strength and home advantage, then recalibrates against real results every week — so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%.
Chelsea