Draw No Bet (DNB) predictions today

Draw No Bet removes the draw outcome from the equation — if the match ends level, your stake is refunded. It's the value play when you fancy one side but the draw is genuinely plausible. Bawler computes DNB probability as P(side wins) / (P(side wins) + P(other side wins)).

Every probability above comes from the same Poisson model that powers our public track record — bivariate Poisson on rolling expected goals, FIFA-ranked international adjustment, recent form, and a small home-advantage prior. Probabilities are the model's honest estimate, not sales copy. No favourite-longshot bias compression.

Want the “why” on a specific pick? Click into the match page for the full breakdown. See the methodology page for the full mathematical write-up, or /verify for proof every prediction above was published before kickoff.