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> double_chance · Friday, 19 June 2026

Double Chance predictions today

2 fixtures on today's slate, ranked by Bawler's model probability for the Double Chance market. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly — and cryptographically anchored to Bitcoin so we mathematically can't edit the picks after the result is in.

> today.double_chance()

Today's Double Chance picks

Ranked by model probability. Higher = more confident.

LeagueFixturePickProb
World CupUnited StatesvAustralia
20:00
United States or Draw (1X)72%
World CupScotlandvMorocco
23:00
Draw or Morocco (X2)72%

> upcoming.double_chance()

Upcoming Double Chance picks (next 7 days)

DateLeagueFixturePickProb
20 JunWorld CupTürkiyevParaguay
04:00
Draw or Paraguay (X2)74%
20 JunWorld CupBrazilvHaiti
01:30
Brazil or Draw (1X)72%
21 JunWorld CupEcuadorvCuraçao
01:00
Ecuador or Draw (1X)71%

> how_the_model_calls_it()

How Bawler calls Double Chance

Double Chance lets you back two of the three 1X2 outcomes on a single ticket — typically lower odds, much higher hit rate. Bawler picks the strongest Double Chance combination per match: 1X (home or draw), X2 (draw or away), or 12 (no draw).

Every probability above comes from the same Poisson model that powers our public track record — bivariate Poisson on rolling expected goals, FIFA-ranked international adjustment, recent form, and a small home-advantage prior. Probabilities are the model's honest estimate, not sales copy. No favourite-longshot bias compression.

Want the “why” on a specific pick? Click into the match page for the full breakdown. See the methodology page for the full mathematical write-up, or /verify for proof every prediction above was published before kickoff.