Double Chance · Sunday, 16 August 2026

Double Chance predictions today

4 fixtures on today's slate, ranked by Bawler's model probability for the Double Chance market. Predictions are provisional until lineups are confirmed (around 75 minutes before kickoff), when each one is locked and cryptographically anchored to Bitcoin so we mathematically can't edit it after the result is in.

Today · Double Chance

🎯 Today's Double Chance predictions

Ranked by model probability. Higher = more confident. Figures are as of the latest build and stay provisional until each fixture locks at lineup confirmation.

LeagueFixturePredictionProb
Primeira LigaBragavGil Vicente
20:30
Braga or Draw (1X)82%
Primeira LigaFC FamalicaovMaritimo
20:30
FC Famalicao or Draw (1X)80%
MLSChicago Fire FCvPortland Timbers
23:00
Chicago Fire FC or Draw (1X)79%
MLSNew York City FCvPhiladelphia Union
23:00
New York City FC or Draw (1X)72%

Upcoming · Double Chance

🗓️ Upcoming Double Chance predictions (next 14 days)

These are early reads and will move as team news lands — each one is provisional until it locks at lineup confirmation.

DateLeagueFixturePredictionProb
17 AugLaLigaDeportivovElcheDeportivo or Draw (1X)84%
17 AugSuper LigSamsunsporvGoztepeSamsunspor or Draw (1X)81%
18 AugChampions League - QualificationFenerbahcevLyonFenerbahce or Draw (1X)79%
17 AugChampionshipCardiff CityvWrexhamCardiff City or Draw (1X)79%
17 AugMLSSeattle Sounders FCvVancouver Whitecaps
03:30
Draw or Vancouver Whitecaps (X2)73%
17 AugLiga PortugalCasa PiavBenficaDraw or Benfica (X2)73%
18 AugChampions League - QualificationDinamo ZagrebvViking FKDinamo Zagreb or Viking FK (12)72%
18 AugChampions League - QualificationLevski SofiavAEK AthensLevski Sofia or AEK Athens (12)72%
17 AugMLSAustin FCvFC Dallas
01:30
Draw or FC Dallas (X2)72%

> dated_predictions() · Sunday, 16 August 2026

Double chance predictions: today, tomorrow & this weekend

Fresh double chance predictions for the next fixtures, regenerated by Bawler's model each morning and logged before kickoff. Last regenerated .

Every prediction above is logged before kickoff and settled publicly, right or wrong — see how past predictions landed.

How the model calls it

🧠 How Bawler calls Double Chance

Double Chance covers two of the three 1X2 outcomes at once — a lower bar to clear, so a much higher hit rate. Bawler picks the strongest Double Chance combination per match: 1X (home or draw), X2 (draw or away), or 12 (no draw).

Every probability above comes from the same model that powers our public track record: it estimates how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending form, factors in international strength and home advantage, then works out the probability of each outcome. Those probabilities are recalibrated against real results every week, so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%. Probabilities are the model's honest estimate, not sales copy.

Want the “why” on a specific call? Click into the match page for the full breakdown. See the methodology page for the full mathematical write-up, or /verify for proof every prediction above was published before kickoff.