FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 05 September 2026

Al-Faisaly 0–0 Al HazemMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 05 September 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al-Faisaly or draw at 69%. Bawler had Al-Faisaly at 45%, the draw at 24% and Al Hazem at 31%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al-Faisaly win
45%
Draw
24%
Result
Al Hazem win
31%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.9 – 1.5
Total 3.4
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 1.1
From the match itself

The match produced 3.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 85%
Missed
Medium confidence
Al-Faisaly or draw
Pre-match: 69%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals stands at 85% confidence because Al-Faisaly's 1.87 xG combined with Al Hazem's 1.53 xG projects a high-volume attacking contest."

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