FT · SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League · Sunday, 30 August 2026

Al Hazem 1–1 Al ShababMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Hazem or draw at 63%. Bawler had Al Hazem at 39%, the draw at 25% and Al Shabab at 37%. The match finished 1–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Hazem win
39%
Draw
25%
Result
Al Shabab win
37%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.6
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.8
From the match itself

The match produced 1.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 83%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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