FT · SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League · Tuesday, 01 September 2026

Al Hilal 3–0 Al AhliMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 01 September 2026

Al Hilal
3–0
Al Hilal win
Al Ahli

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Hilal or draw at 76%. Bawler had Al Hilal at 49%, the draw at 27% and Al Ahli at 24%. The match finished 3–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Hilal win
49%
Result
Draw
27%
Al Ahli win
24%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.0
Total 2.6
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 1.3
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.6.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Hilal or draw
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 27%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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