FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Monday, 07 September 2026

Al Hilal 0–2 Neom SCMatch recap & how our call landed · Monday, 07 September 2026

Al Hilal
0–2
Neom SC win
Neom SC

Our call before kickoff

Our call missed

Before kickoff our call was Al Hilal to win at 72%. Bawler had Al Hilal at 72%, the draw at 18% and Neom SC at 10%. The match finished 0–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Hilal win
72%
Draw
18%
Neom SC win
10%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.3 – 0.8
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 1.1
From the match itself

The match produced 1.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Hilal to win
Pre-match: 72%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 37%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Al Hilal's home win is the high-confidence call, underpinned by a dominant 1.56 xG advantage and 72% win probability against a Neom side generating just 0.75 expected goals."

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