FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Monday, 07 September 2026

Al Khaleej 0–0 Al RiyadhMatch recap & how our call landed · Monday, 07 September 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Khaleej or draw at 77%. Bawler had Al Khaleej at 54%, the draw at 23% and Al Riyadh at 23%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Khaleej win
54%
Draw
23%
Result
Al Riyadh win
23%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.9 – 1.2
Total 3.2
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 0.2
From the match itself

The match produced 3.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 82%
Missed
Medium confidence
Al Khaleej to win
Pre-match: 54%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 39%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Al Khaleej's 0.73 expected-goals advantage drives an Over 1.5 Goals forecast at 82%, as the hosts' superior shot quality should breach the 1.5-goal threshold in this Saudi Pro League clash."

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