FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Sunday, 13 September 2026

Al Riyadh 2–0 Al KholoodMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 13 September 2026

Al Riyadh
2–0
Al Riyadh win
Al Kholood

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Riyadh or draw at 64%. Bawler had Al Riyadh at 38%, the draw at 26% and Al Kholood at 36%. The match finished 2–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Riyadh win
38%
Result
Draw
26%
Al Kholood win
36%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.5 – 1.4
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.5
From the match itself

The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 79% as both sides generate nearly identical attacking threat—Al Riyadh 1.50 xG and Al Kholood 1.44—making a multi-goal result the fixture's most likely outcome."

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