FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 12 September 2026

Al Shabab 0–0 Al FayhaMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 12 September 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Shabab or draw at 74%. Bawler had Al Shabab at 49%, the draw at 25% and Al Fayha at 26%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Shabab win
49%
Draw
25%
Result
Al Fayha win
26%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.7 – 1.2
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 0.5
From the match itself

The match produced 2.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Missed
Medium confidence
Al Shabab or draw
Pre-match: 74%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 33%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals dominates at 79% because Al Shabab's 1.72 xG significantly outpaces Al Fayha's 1.19, signalling a likely high-tempo encounter."

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