FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Friday, 04 September 2026

Al Shabab 0–2 Al HilalMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 04 September 2026

Al Shabab
0–2
Al Hilal win
Al Hilal

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Hilal to win at 69%. Bawler had Al Shabab at 13%, the draw at 18% and Al Hilal at 69%. The match finished 0–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Shabab win
13%
Draw
18%
Al Hilal win
69%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.0 – 2.4
Total 3.4
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 3.5
From the match itself

The match produced 1.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Hilal to win
Pre-match: 69%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Al Hilal's away win is the high-confidence call, backed by a commanding 1.47 xG advantage and 69% win probability over the host."

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