FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 05 September 2026

Al Taawoun 0–0 Al FatehMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 05 September 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Taawoun or draw at 73%. Bawler had Al Taawoun at 49%, the draw at 24% and Al Fateh at 27%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Taawoun win
49%
Draw
24%
Result
Al Fateh win
27%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.8 – 1.3
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.1 against our forecast)

The match produced 3.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 81%
Missed
Medium confidence
Al Taawoun or draw
Pre-match: 73%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 37%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals carries an 81% forecast as Al Taawoun's 0.51 expected-goals advantage and combined 3.08 xG total suggest an open match built for multiple chances."

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