FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 12 September 2026

Al Taawoun 0–6 Al HilalMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 12 September 2026

Al Taawoun
0–6
Al Hilal win
Al Hilal

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Hilal to win at 63%. Bawler had Al Taawoun at 16%, the draw at 21% and Al Hilal at 63%. The match finished 0–6.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Taawoun win
16%
Draw
21%
Al Hilal win
63%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.0 – 2.1
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 6
Total 6 (+2.9 against our forecast)

The match produced 2.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Hilal to win
Pre-match: 63%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 37%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Al Hilal's Away Win is the model's call, backed by a commanding 1.13 expected-goals advantage and 63% win probability over a Taawoun side managing just 0.96 xG."

More from Bawler