FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Antwerp 1–4 Sint-TruidenseMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Antwerp or draw at 65%. Bawler had Antwerp at 39%, the draw at 26% and Sint-Truidense at 36%. The match finished 1–4.
Pre-match probability vs result
Antwerp win
39%
Draw
26%
Sint-Truidense win
36%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.4
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 4
Total 5 (+2.0 against our forecast)
The match produced 2.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.