Botswana vs Mozambique prediction — International friendlies · Wed 30 Sept · 15:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Wed 30 Sept · 15:00 UK · Neutral venue
Botswana 30Draw 26Mozambique 44
Our call before kickoff
70%
Mozambique or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Mozambique beat Botswana 2–0. Bawler's model had Mozambique in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMozambique or draw 70%Mozambique won (44% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score56%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

BotswanaMozambique
1.3
Goals+0.3
1.6
BotswanaMozambique
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
BotswanaMozambique
0.8
Goals+0.2
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Mozambique to score79%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Botswana to score71%
Under 3.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

Botswana
43%
to score before half-time
Mozambique
50%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.3 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Botswana vs Mozambique?

Mozambique beat Botswana 2–0. Bawler's model had Mozambique in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored.

What was the final score in Botswana vs Mozambique?

Botswana 0–2 Mozambique, played on 30 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Botswana 30%, the draw 26% and Mozambique 44%.

Did both teams score in Botswana vs Mozambique?

No. It finished 0–2, so Botswana failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Botswana vs Mozambique right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Mozambique or draw 70%, it finished Mozambique won (44% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.