FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Çorum FK 3–0 EyupsporMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Çorum FK or draw at 77%. Bawler had Çorum FK at 51%, the draw at 26% and Eyupspor at 23%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Çorum FK win
51%
Result
Draw
26%
Eyupspor win
23%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.0
Total 2.7
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Çorum FK or draw
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 28%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Çorum FK's 0.63 expected-goals edge and 51% win probability make Çorum FK or draw (draw or home win) the model's 77% call, reflecting their attacking dominance in a low-scoring contest."