FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Eyupspor 2–1 AlanyasporMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Eyupspor or draw at 68%. Bawler had Eyupspor at 39%, the draw at 29% and Alanyaspor at 32%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Eyupspor win
39%
Result
Draw
29%
Alanyaspor win
32%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.1
Total 2.4
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.4.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 70%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 23%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.