FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Eyupspor 0–2 Caykur RizesporMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Caykur Rizespor or draw at 65%. Bawler had Eyupspor at 35%, the draw at 28% and Caykur Rizespor at 37%. The match finished 0–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Eyupspor win
35%
Draw
28%
Caykur Rizespor win
37%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.4
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 75%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 50%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 75% because both sides combine for 2.68 expected goals with virtually identical attacking threat—Eyupspor's 1.31 xG mirrors Rizespor's 1.36."