FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Monday, 12 October 2026
Eyupspor 0–4 GoztepeMatch recap & how our call landed · Monday, 12 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Goztepe or draw at 71%. Bawler had Eyupspor at 29%, the draw at 26% and Goztepe at 44%. The match finished 0–4.
Pre-match probability vs result
Eyupspor win
29%
Draw
26%
Goztepe win
44%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.6
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 4
Total 4 (+1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 3.2
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.