FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Fleetwood Town 4–0 Shrewsbury TownMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Fleetwood Town
4–0
Fleetwood Town win
Shrewsbury Town

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Fleetwood Town or draw at 69%. Bawler had Fleetwood Town at 43%, the draw at 26% and Shrewsbury Town at 31%. The match finished 4–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Fleetwood Town win
43%
Result
Draw
26%
Shrewsbury Town win
31%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.5 – 1.3
Total 2.8
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (+1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 1.0
From the match itself

The match produced 1.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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