FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Friday, 14 August 2026
Galatasaray 2–2 Çorum FKMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 14 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Galatasaray or draw at 84%. Bawler had Galatasaray at 57%, the draw at 26% and Çorum FK at 16%. The match finished 2–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Galatasaray win
57%
Draw
26%
Result
Çorum FK win
16%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.0
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.9 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Medium confidence
Not both teams to score
Pre-match: 53%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 26%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.