FT · EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
Hapoel Be'er 2–1 Sabah FKMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Hapoel Be'er or draw at 69%. Bawler had Hapoel Be'er at 42%, the draw at 27% and Sabah FK at 31%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Hapoel Be'er win
42%
Result
Draw
27%
Sabah FK win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.3
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.