How it finished
Cameroon beat Ivory Coast 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Ivory Coast at 68% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Cameroon 10%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Ivory Coast had 7 shots (4 on target) to Cameroon's 14 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Ivory Coast vs Cameroon?
Cameroon beat Ivory Coast 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Ivory Coast at 68% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Cameroon 10%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Ivory Coast had 7 shots (4 on target) to Cameroon's 14 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%.
What was the final score in Ivory Coast vs Cameroon?
Ivory Coast 0–1 Cameroon, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ivory Coast 68%, the draw 22% and Cameroon 10%.
What were the stats in Ivory Coast vs Cameroon?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Shots 7–14, Shots on target 4–4, Corners 3–4, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Ivory Coast vs Cameroon?
No. It finished 0–1, so Ivory Coast failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 37% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Ivory Coast vs Cameroon right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ivory Coast to win 68%, it finished Cameroon won (10% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 37%, it finished No.