FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 06 September 2026

KV Kortrijk 0–2 Zulte-WaregemMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 06 September 2026

KV Kortrijk
0–2
Zulte-Waregem win
Zulte-Waregem

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Zulte-Waregem or draw at 70%. Bawler had KV Kortrijk at 30%, the draw at 26% and Zulte-Waregem at 44%. The match finished 0–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

KV Kortrijk win
30%
Draw
26%
Zulte-Waregem win
44%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.3 – 1.6
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 1.2
From the match itself

The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals carries a 79% forecast as Zulte-Waregem's 1.62 xG advantage and 44% win probability signal sustained attacking intent against a Kortrijk side generating just 1.31 expected chances."

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