FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 16 August 2026
LAFC 0–1 San Diego FCMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 16 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had LAFC at 40%, draw at 28%, San Diego FC at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-1. The model's headline call was LAFC to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
LAFC win
40%
Draw
28%
FC win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
LAFC or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Under 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 81%
No result
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost