FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Tuesday, 01 September 2026
Lincoln City 0–0 Blackburn RoversMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 01 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Lincoln City or draw at 70%. Bawler had Lincoln City at 43%, the draw at 28% and Blackburn Rovers at 30%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Lincoln City win
43%
Draw
28%
Result
Blackburn Rovers win
30%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.2
Total 2.6
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced 2.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 74%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.