FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 13 September 2026
RAAL La Louvière 3–0 KV KortrijkMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was RAAL La Louvière or draw at 72%. Bawler had RAAL La Louvière at 45%, the draw at 27% and KV Kortrijk at 28%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
RAAL La Louvière win
45%
Result
Draw
27%
KV Kortrijk win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.1
Total 2.6
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.0 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.6.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 74%
Landed
Medium confidence
RAAL La Louvière or draw
Pre-match: 72%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals forecasts at 74% because RAAL La Louvière's superior attacking output (1.50 xG) outpaces Kortrijk's defensive solidity (1.13 xG), suggesting a combined 2.63 expected goals leans toward a multi-goal result."