How it finished
Rwanda and Kenya drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Rwanda at 74% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 17%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Rwanda had 9 shots (3 on target) to Kenya's 8 (2), with 49% of the ball against 51%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Rwanda vs Kenya?
Rwanda and Kenya drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Rwanda at 74% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 17%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Rwanda had 9 shots (3 on target) to Kenya's 8 (2), with 49% of the ball against 51%.
What was the final score in Rwanda vs Kenya?
Rwanda 0–0 Kenya, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rwanda 74%, the draw 17% and Kenya 8%.
What were the stats in Rwanda vs Kenya?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Shots 9–8, Shots on target 3–2, Corners 2–2, Fouls 15–16, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 2–4.
Did both teams score in Rwanda vs Kenya?
No. It finished 0–0, so Rwanda failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Rwanda vs Kenya right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Rwanda to win 74%, it finished Draw (17% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished No.