FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Sint-Truidense 0–2 KVC WesterloMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Sint-Truidense to win at 60%. Bawler had Sint-Truidense at 60%, the draw at 20% and KVC Westerlo at 20%. The match finished 0–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Sint-Truidense win
60%
Draw
20%
KVC Westerlo win
20%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.3 – 1.3
Total 3.6
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.6 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Sint-Truidense to win
Pre-match: 60%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Sint-Truidense's 0.74 expected-goals advantage underpins an 85% forecast for Over 1.5 Goals, making a multi-goal outcome the model's clearest edge in this matchup."