FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Walsall 0–0 Leyton OrientMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Walsall or draw at 69%. Bawler had Walsall at 43%, the draw at 26% and Leyton Orient at 31%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Walsall win
43%
Draw
26%
Result
Leyton Orient win
31%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.5 – 1.3
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 1.1
From the match itself

The match produced 2.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Missed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 53%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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