FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 13 September 2026

Zulte-Waregem 0–1 Royal Charleroi SCMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 13 September 2026

Zulte-Waregem
0–1
Royal Charleroi SC win
Royal Charleroi SC

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Royal Charleroi SC or draw at 65%. Bawler had Zulte-Waregem at 35%, the draw at 26% and Royal Charleroi SC at 39%. The match finished 0–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Zulte-Waregem win
35%
Draw
26%
Royal Charleroi SC win
39%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.4 – 1.5
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 1.6
From the match itself

The match produced 1.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 79% because both sides generate similar attacking threat—Zulte-Waregem 1.40 xG and Royal Charleroi 1.50 xG—leaving the match wide open for a multi-goal outcome."

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