Bawler / World: World Cup / Cape Verde
Team profile

Cape Verde Prediction

Per-game numbers from 4 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
9.8
a game
16.5 faced
On target
2.7
a game
4.3 faced
Goals
0.8 – 0.8
scored – conceded
a game, 4 matches
Corners
3.3
a game
6.0 against

Cape Verde prediction: Bawler's model rates Cape Verde at 1.02 expected goals scored and 1.70 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 50% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 4 settled matches. No Cape Verde fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Cape Verde are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.70 expected goals a game against a World Cup average of 1.38. They are unbeaten across their last 4 settled matches. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Cape Verde have been correct 50% of the time.

Cape Verde in numbers

4 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 0.8
Home 0.0Away 1.0
3.3
Corners · per game
give up 6.0
Home 4.0Away 3.0
9.8
Shots · per game
faced 16.5
Home 15.0Away 8.0
2.7
On target · per game
faced 4.3
Home 2.0Away 3.0
Last 4 games
03 Jul
1-1
@ Argentina
2-5
27 Jun
0-0
vs Saudi Arabia
4-2
21 Jun
2-2
@ Uruguay
4-11
15 Jun
0-0
@ Spain
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Cape Verde compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.02
Below average
Goals against
1.70
Leakier than most
Record
0W 4D 0L
4 settled
Real goals
0.8 – 0.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.02
Conceded1.70

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.02 xG per match · -0.30 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.70 xG per match · +0.32 vs league average of 1.38.
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Cape Verde matches give the model a harder read here — 1/3 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

Recent matches (last 4)

More on Cape Verde and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly