Per-game numbers from 4 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
Ecuador prediction: Bawler's model rates Ecuador at 1.40 expected goals scored and 1.37 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 71% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Ecuador fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Ecuador sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.40 expected goals a game and conceding 1.37. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.40 expected. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Ecuador have been correct 71% of the time.
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →
How Ecuador compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.