Bawler / World: World Cup / Ghana
Team profile

Ghana Prediction

Per-game numbers from 4 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
5.0
a game
19.5 faced
On target
0.5
a game
5.5 faced
Goals
0.5 – 0.8
scored – conceded
a game, 4 matches
Corners
2.0
a game
6.0 against

Ghana prediction: Bawler's model rates Ghana at 1.12 expected goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 57% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Ghana fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Ghana sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.12 expected goals a game and conceding 1.60. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.71 goals a game against 1.12 expected. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Ghana have been correct 57% of the time.

Ghana in numbers

4 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.5
Goals · per game
let in 0.8
Home 1.0Away 0.3
2.0
Corners · per game
give up 6.0
Away 2.0
5.0
Shots · per game
faced 19.5
Away 5.0
0.5
On target · per game
faced 5.5
Away 0.5
Last 4 games
04 Jul
0-1
@ Colombia
2-3
27 Jun
1-2
@ Croatia
-
23 Jun
0-0
@ England
2-9
17 Jun
1-0
vs Panama
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Ghana compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.12
Below average
Goals against
1.60
Leakier than most
Record
1W 2D 4L
7 settled
Real goals
0.7 – 1.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.12
Conceded1.60

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.12 xG per match · -0.20 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.60 xG per match · +0.22 vs league average of 1.38.
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Ghana matches give the model a harder read here — 2/5 (40%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

How Bawler has done on Ghana

57%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 7
Goals (Over/Under)40%2/5
Result100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

More on Ghana and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly