Bawler / World: World Cup / Haiti
Team profile

Haiti Prediction

Per-game numbers from 3 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
8.0
a game
15.0 faced
On target
2.5
a game
8.0 faced
Goals
0.7 – 2.7
scored – conceded
a game, 3 matches
Corners
2.5
a game
6.5 against

Haiti prediction: Bawler's model rates Haiti at 1.11 expected goals scored and 1.48 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They have lost their last 4 settled matches. No Haiti fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Haiti sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.11 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. Recent form is poor — 4 defeats in a row. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Haiti have been correct 80% of the time.

Haiti in numbers

3 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.7
Goals · per game
let in 2.7
Home 0.0Away 1.0
2.5
Corners · per game
give up 6.5
Away 2.5
8.0
Shots · per game
faced 15.0
Away 8.0
2.5
On target · per game
faced 8.0
Away 2.5
Last 3 games
24 Jun
2-4
@ Morocco
1-9
20 Jun
0-3
@ Brazil
4-4
14 Jun
0-1
vs Scotland
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Haiti compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.11
Below average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Record
1W 0D 4L
5 settled
Real goals
1.4 – 2.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.11
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.11 xG per match · -0.22 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Haiti fixtures (4/5).
4-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

How Bawler has done on Haiti

80%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)80%4/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

More on Haiti and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly