Bawler / NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie / Heracles
Team profile

Heracles Prediction

Per-game numbers from 36 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.9
a game
16.3 faced
On target
4.2
a game
6.6 faced
Goals
1.2 – 2.5
scored – conceded
a game, 36 matches
Corners
4.7
a game
6.0 against

Heracles prediction: Bawler's model rates Heracles at 1.51 expected goals scored and 1.89 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 67% of the time. They have lost their last 5 settled matches. No Heracles fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Heracles are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.89 expected goals a game against an Eredivisie average of 1.53. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.50 goals a game against 1.51 expected. Recent form is poor — 5 defeats in a row. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Heracles have been correct 67% of the time.

Heracles in numbers

36 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 2.5
Home 1.4Away 0.9
4.7
Corners · per game
give up 6.0
Home 5.2Away 4.2
11.9
Shots · per game
faced 16.3
Home 14.3Away 9.4
4.2
On target · per game
faced 6.6
Home 5.4Away 2.9
Last 6 games
14 Aug
3-2
vs Den Bosch
11-6
07 Aug
4-3
@ Venlo
5-5
17 May
1-2
vs Groningen
9-5
10 May
0-3
@ Telstar
7-6
03 May
0-1
@ Zwolle
3-3
26 Apr
0-2
vs Volendam
5-9

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Heracles compare with the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for
1.51
Above average
Goals against
1.89
Leakier than most
Record
0W 1D 5L
6 settled
Real goals
0.5 – 2.2
For / against, per match
Scored1.51
Conceded1.89

The grey line on each bar is the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average (1.42 scored, 1.53 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.89 xG per match · +0.36 vs league average of 1.53.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Heracles fixtures (3/4).
5-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

How Bawler has done on Heracles

67%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 6
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

More on Heracles and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly